What's Wrong with Expert Predictions? by Philip E. Tetlock, Jason Kuznicki, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, John Cochrane, Dan Gardner, Robin Hanson

missing page info Add in missing page information first pub 2011 (view editions)

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Experts must love making predictions. They keep right on predicting, even though by any reasonable standard, they're terrible at it. Many of them, though intelligent and well-informed, nonetheless have difficulty even beating a random guess about ...

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